Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.CEO of Wells Fargo: Consumer loans will not be tightened again.Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index futures continued their pre-market gains after the data was released.Treasury yields fell, while the Bloomberg dollar spot index erased gains.TCL Global Technology Innovation Conference was held in Shenzhen, and on December 11th, TCL Global Technology Innovation Conference was held in Shenzhen, which released 16 technological breakthroughs, including 5 AI applications in all fields and scenarios. In 2024, TCL created economic benefits of 540 million yuan by promoting the implementation of AI applications. (Shenzhen Special Zone Daily)
The spot gold price once again stood at the $2,700 mark in the day.Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao signed a new round of strategic agreement on the development of the accounting industry. On the 11th, Guangdong Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Hong Kong Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Hong Kong Association of Auditors of Listed Companies, Macao Accounting Professional Association, certified public accountants associations in nine cities in Greater Bay Area and 188 accounting firms in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao jointly signed the Strategic Agreement on the Development of the Accounting Industry in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao (2024). (Xinhua News Agency)MacKenzie, analyst: With the possibility of interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, the yield of US Treasury bonds headed by two-year treasury bonds only slightly declined. Therefore, the market seems to be quite satisfied with the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates again and then suspending it early next year.